Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.006613 0.007380 0.008215 0.009195 0.010317 0.011565 0.013063
2025-06-01 0.005333 0.006363 0.007577 0.009126 0.011065 0.013431 0.016571
2025-06-08 0.004502 0.005603 0.006970 0.008812 0.011260 0.014445 0.018976
2025-06-15 0.004038 0.005202 0.006707 0.008830 0.011797 0.015876 0.022047
2025-06-22 0.003789 0.005032 0.006701 0.009153 0.012743 0.017938 0.026271
2025-06-29 0.003427 0.004662 0.006371 0.008967 0.012915 0.018876 0.028922
2025-07-06 0.003123 0.004340 0.006069 0.008775 0.013033 0.019716 0.031508
2025-07-13 0.002914 0.004133 0.005908 0.008766 0.013417 0.021001 0.035005
2025-07-20 0.002793 0.004041 0.005905 0.008993 0.014191 0.023004 0.040070
2025-07-27 0.002613 0.003844 0.005722 0.008908 0.014429 0.024110 0.043649
2025-08-03 0.002470 0.003693 0.005596 0.008902 0.014793 0.025472 0.047935
2025-08-10 0.002322 0.003521 0.005420 0.008791 0.014953 0.026467 0.051634
2025-08-17 0.002218 0.003418 0.005360 0.008890 0.015537 0.028409 0.057855
2025-08-24 0.002091 0.003270 0.005212 0.008823 0.015810 0.029793 0.063173
2025-08-31 0.001936 0.003064 0.004950 0.008522 0.015588 0.030126 0.066102
2025-09-07 0.001848 0.002965 0.004865 0.008539 0.015999 0.031850 0.072785
2025-09-14 0.001813 0.002953 0.004932 0.008849 0.017047 0.035125 0.084214
2025-09-21 0.001708 0.002813 0.004757 0.008670 0.017037 0.035994 0.089393
2025-09-28 0.001611 0.002681 0.004586 0.008486 0.016993 0.036773 0.094513
2025-10-05 0.001546 0.002600 0.004507 0.008478 0.017339 0.038552 0.103023
2025-10-12 0.001514 0.002579 0.004536 0.008695 0.018225 0.041821 0.117046
2025-10-19 0.001447 0.002489 0.004428 0.008614 0.018401 0.043285 0.125668
2025-10-26 0.001394 0.002421 0.004358 0.008608 0.018756 0.045285 0.136711